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Maple Leafs vs Lightning

Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance versus model expectation.

Maple leafs
Record since the 1968 season
74-55-2
Maple Leafs lead the series by 19 wins.
Lightning
@ Maple Leafs
38-28-1
@ Lightning
36-27-1
Playoffs
7-6
VS EXPECTED
Maple Leafs +7.1
Avg Goals
3.2-2.9
Most Recent Winner
Lightning 2-5

Head-To-Head Margin (Max Last 150 Matches)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Results

All completed meetings between these teams.
Date Matchup Result Winner Model Projection Stage
Mar 7, 2026 5–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Feb 25, 2026 2–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0 Regular
Dec 8, 2025 0–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 Regular
Apr 9, 2025 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3 Regular
Jan 20, 2025 3–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Nov 30, 2024 5–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3 Regular
Oct 21, 2024 2–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 Regular
Apr 17, 2024 4–6 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Regular
Apr 3, 2024 4–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Nov 6, 2023 5–6 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Oct 21, 2023 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Regular
Apr 29, 2023 2–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Playoffs
Apr 27, 2023 4–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.8 Playoffs
Apr 24, 2023 5–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Playoffs
Apr 22, 2023 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Playoffs
Apr 20, 2023 2–7 Toronto Maple Leafs +5 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Playoffs
Apr 18, 2023 7–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +4 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.7 Playoffs
Apr 11, 2023 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3 Regular
Dec 20, 2022 1–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Dec 3, 2022 3–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 Regular
May 14, 2022 2–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 Playoffs
May 12, 2022 3–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Playoffs
May 10, 2022 3–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 Playoffs
May 8, 2022 3–7 Tampa Bay Lightning +4 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Playoffs
May 6, 2022 5–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Playoffs
May 4, 2022 5–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 Playoffs
May 2, 2022 0–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +5 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 Playoffs
Apr 21, 2022 1–8 Tampa Bay Lightning +7 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Regular
Apr 4, 2022 6–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +4 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Dec 9, 2021 5–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Nov 4, 2021 1–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.0 Regular
Mar 10, 2020 1–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3 Regular
Feb 25, 2020 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 Regular
Oct 10, 2019 7–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +4 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Apr 4, 2019 3–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Regular
Mar 11, 2019 6–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +4 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Jan 17, 2019 4–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.1 Regular
Dec 13, 2018 1–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8 Regular
Mar 20, 2018 3–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8 Regular
Feb 26, 2018 3–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Feb 12, 2018 3–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.0 Regular
Jan 2, 2018 2–0 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Apr 6, 2017 4–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Mar 16, 2017 5–0 Toronto Maple Leafs +5 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.1 Regular
Dec 29, 2016 3–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.3 Regular
Oct 25, 2016 7–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +4 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 Regular
Mar 28, 2016 0–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.6 Regular
Mar 15, 2016 1–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Feb 29, 2016 2–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Jan 27, 2016 0–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 Regular
Dec 15, 2015 5–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 Regular
Mar 31, 2015 1–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Regular
Mar 5, 2015 2–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.3 Regular
Dec 29, 2014 2–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 Regular
Nov 20, 2014 2–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Apr 8, 2014 0–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Regular
Mar 19, 2014 5–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Feb 6, 2014 4–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Regular
Jan 28, 2014 2–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.3 Regular
Apr 24, 2013 2–5 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Mar 20, 2013 2–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.3 Regular
Feb 19, 2013 2–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 Regular
Apr 5, 2012 2–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Mar 15, 2012 3–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.9 Regular
Jan 3, 2012 3–7 Toronto Maple Leafs +4 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2 Regular
Nov 22, 2011 7–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +6 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Mar 14, 2011 6–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +4 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Jan 25, 2011 0–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.0 Regular
Nov 30, 2010 4–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2 Regular
Nov 9, 2010 0–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +4 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 Regular
Mar 11, 2010 3–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 Regular
Jan 21, 2010 2–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3 Regular
Nov 25, 2009 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 Regular
Nov 3, 2009 2–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.7 Regular
Mar 17, 2009 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Mar 12, 2009 4–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.8 Regular
Feb 12, 2009 4–6 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Regular
Oct 28, 2008 3–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.8 Regular
Feb 29, 2008 2–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Regular
Jan 1, 2008 3–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 Regular
Dec 20, 2007 1–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 Regular
Dec 10, 2007 1–6 Toronto Maple Leafs +5 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 Regular
Mar 13, 2007 2–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Jan 16, 2007 4–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Dec 12, 2006 4–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 Regular
Nov 1, 2006 4–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.4 Regular
Mar 11, 2006 1–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +4 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Jan 31, 2006 2–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.6 Regular
Nov 30, 2005 1–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.5 Regular
Nov 5, 2005 3–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.3 Regular
Mar 23, 2004 7–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +5 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Feb 26, 2004 3–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.2 Regular
Feb 10, 2004 4–4 Tie Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Dec 16, 2003 0–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.0 Regular
Feb 6, 2003 3–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2 Regular
Dec 19, 2002 2–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.0 Regular
Dec 3, 2002 3–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.1 Regular
Nov 5, 2002 3–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.9 Regular
Mar 26, 2002 2–7 Toronto Maple Leafs +5 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 Regular
Dec 31, 2001 4–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 Regular
Nov 15, 2001 3–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Oct 30, 2001 2–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.6 Regular
Mar 15, 2001 2–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Jan 10, 2001 3–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.7 Regular
Dec 31, 2000 3–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 Regular
Nov 17, 2000 2–2 Tie Toronto Maple Leafs +1.8 Regular
Apr 8, 2000 2–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +2.3 Regular
Feb 1, 2000 5–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.0 Regular
Dec 21, 1999 4–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Mar 9, 1999 1–6 Toronto Maple Leafs +5 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.8 Regular
Feb 2, 1999 3–0 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.7 Regular
Jan 12, 1999 4–3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Jan 4, 1999 4–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 Regular
Jan 24, 1998 2–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.8 Regular
Jan 7, 1998 5–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.3 Regular
Mar 16, 1997 3–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Oct 12, 1996 7–4 Tampa Bay Lightning +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.3 Regular
Feb 21, 1996 3–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Nov 16, 1995 5–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular
Feb 7, 1994 2–1 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 Regular
Jan 4, 1994 1–0 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 Regular
Oct 23, 1993 2–0 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Mar 18, 1993 4–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 Regular
Mar 12, 1993 2–8 Toronto Maple Leafs +6 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.3 Regular
Feb 19, 1993 1–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.0 Regular
Feb 9, 1993 1–3 Tampa Bay Lightning +2 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Jan 21, 1993 6–1 Toronto Maple Leafs +5 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.1 Regular
Jan 11, 1993 2–4 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 Regular
Nov 24, 1992 3–2 Tampa Bay Lightning +1 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 Regular
Oct 22, 1992 5–2 Toronto Maple Leafs +3 Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7 Regular
Oct 15, 1992 3–5 Toronto Maple Leafs +2 Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 Regular