Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 2
Tuesday, January 16, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
20-26 Rating 1488
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Lightning
24-23 Rating 1512
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 33 12
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.6 2.4
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 46 47
Avg goals scored 3.3 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.4 3.1
Win percentage 43% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 52%