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SharpModels provides benchmark team ratings, matchup probabilities and full season forecasts across the NFL, NBA, NHL and MLB.
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Featured Articles
All Articles2026 AFC East Preview
Buffalo and New England are in lockstep with the market. Miami isn't, and the reasons why are all real.
Read article NFL2026 AFC North Preview
Joe Burrow's healthy return moves Cincinnati 13 points against our own model. Here's every AFC North team's real offseason story.
Read article NFL2026 AFC South Preview
Houston's model-market gap is the widest in the division with no clear negative news to explain it. Indianapolis and Tennessee tell a different story.
Read article NFL2026 AFC West Preview
Denver carries the largest model-vs-market gap of any AFC division. Kansas City's is explained by one sentence: Patrick Mahomes is healthy again.
Read article NFL2026 NFC East Preview
Philadelphia and Dallas post two of the most dramatic, opposite gaps in this whole project: a +29 and a -21 in the same division.
Read article NFL2026 NFC North Preview
Minnesota's quarterback competition is still unresolved in camp. Chicago's market price is betting hard on year two of Ben Johnson.
Read article NFL2026 NFC South Preview
Tampa Bay and Atlanta are both managing real bad news. New Orleans and Carolina are riding real good news. The NFC South splits clean in half.
Read article NFL2026 NFC West Preview
Reigning Super Bowl champion Seattle vs. all-in challenger Los Angeles: the cleanest model-vs-market story in the whole league.
Read articleBenchmark sports ratings and matchup probabilities
SharpModels provides benchmark team ratings, matchup probabilities and season forecasts across major US sports, built to give clear, consistent comparisons between teams, seasons and matchups.