Chiefs @ Bills

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Chiefs 0 - Bills 0
Thursday, November 26, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET
Kansas City
Chiefs
6-2 Rating 1590
Form: WWLLW
@
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Buffalo Bills +7.6
Buffalo
Bills
6-1 Rating 1714
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Chiefs Bills
All-time wins 17 22
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 19.3 22.8
Last meeting 21 28

Key Season Stats

Stat Chiefs Bills
Games played 8 7
Avg points scored 25.2 33.3
Avg points conceded 17.9 25.9
Win percentage 75% 86%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 75%