Bills @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bills 0 - Patriots 0
Sunday, December 6, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Buffalo
Bills
6-1 Rating 1714
Form: WLWWW
@
Model Probability
59%
41%
Projected margin: Buffalo Bills +2.4
New England
Patriots
5-4 Rating 1573
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bills Patriots
All-time wins 44 69
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 19.2 22.5
Last meeting 26 29

Key Season Stats

Stat Bills Patriots
Games played 7 9
Avg points scored 33.3 23.4
Avg points conceded 25.9 23.0
Win percentage 86% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 100% 75%