Final Score: Steelers 3 - Patriots 20
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Steelers @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Steelers
1-0 Rating 1532
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +5.1
Patriots
0-1 Rating 1590
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Steelers Patriots
All-time wins 17 19
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 20.8 22.3
Last meeting 21 14

Key Season Stats

Stat Steelers Patriots
Games played 1 1
Avg points scored 20.0 10.0
Avg points conceded 13.0 13.0
Win percentage 100% 0%
Away win % / Home win % - -