Final Score: Bills 26 - Steelers 7
Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 4:25 PM ET
Bills @ Steelers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 17 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 19.3 | 21.8 |
| Last meeting | 31 | 17 |
| Stat | Bills | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 11 | 11 |
| Avg points scored | 28.3 | 24.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.9 | 23.9 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 67% |
Recent Results
Bills
@ Houston Texans
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 42
19-23
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 76
44-32
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 43
13-30
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 49
28-21
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 49
40-9
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 38
14-24
vs New England Patriots
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 50
31-19
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 52
31-21
@ New York Jets
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
Steelers
@ Chicago Bears
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 46
34-12
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 35
10-25
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
vs Green Bay Packers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 60
25-35
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Oct 16, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 64
31-33
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 32
23-9
vs Minnesota Vikings
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 45
24-21
@ New England Patriots
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 35
21-14
vs Seattle Seahawks
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 48
17-31