Final Score: Bills 14 - Falcons 24
Monday, October 13, 2025 at 7:15 PM ET
Bills @ Falcons
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 20.9 | 21.7 |
| Last meeting | 29 | 15 |
| Stat | Bills | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 5 | 4 |
| Avg points scored | 30.6 | 19.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.6 | 21.5 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 50% |
Recent Results
Bills
vs New England Patriots
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 50
31-19
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 18, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 52
31-21
@ New York Jets
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 40
30-10
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 81
41-40
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 61
29-32
vs Baltimore Ravens
Jan 19, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 52
27-25
vs Denver Broncos
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 38
31-7
@ New England Patriots
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 39
16-23
vs New York Jets
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +26 · Total: 54
40-14
Falcons
vs Washington Commanders
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
@ Carolina Panthers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -30 · Total: 30
0-30
@ Minnesota Vikings
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 28
22-6
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs Carolina Panthers
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 82
38-44
@ Washington Commanders
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30
vs New York Giants
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +27 · Total: 41
34-7
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 16, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 24
15-9
@ Minnesota Vikings
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -21 · Total: 63
21-42
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -4 · Total: 30
13-17