Final Score: Steelers 21 - Patriots 14
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Steelers @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Steelers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 16 | 19 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 20.8 | 22.6 |
| Last meeting | 18 | 21 |
| Stat | Steelers | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 2 | 2 |
| Avg points scored | 25.5 | 23.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 31.5 | 23.5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 0% |
Recent Results
Steelers
vs Seattle Seahawks
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 48
17-31
@ New York Jets
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 66
34-32
@ Baltimore Ravens
Jan 11, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 42
14-28
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Jan 4, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 36
17-19
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 25, 2024 · Margin: -19 · Total: 39
10-29
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 21, 2024 · Margin: -17 · Total: 51
17-34
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -14 · Total: 40
13-27
vs Cleveland Browns
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 82
44-38
@ Cleveland Browns
Nov 21, 2024 · Margin: -5 · Total: 43
19-24
Patriots
@ Miami Dolphins
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 60
33-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 39
23-16
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: -33 · Total: 47
7-40
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 45
21-24
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -19 · Total: 49
15-34
vs Los Angeles Rams
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 50
22-28
@ Chicago Bears
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: +16 · Total: 22
19-3