Final Score: Patriots 33 - Dolphins 27
Sunday, September 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Dolphins
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 52 | 60 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 21.4 | 21.1 |
| Last meeting | 15 | 34 |
| Stat | Patriots | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 1 | 1 |
| Avg points scored | 13.0 | 8.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.0 | 33.0 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 0% |
| Away win % / Home win % | - | - |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 39
23-16
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: -33 · Total: 47
7-40
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 45
21-24
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -19 · Total: 49
15-34
vs Los Angeles Rams
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 50
22-28
@ Chicago Bears
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: +16 · Total: 22
19-3
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 3, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
Dolphins
@ Indianapolis Colts
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -25 · Total: 41
8-33
@ New York Jets
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 52
20-32
@ Cleveland Browns
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +17 · Total: 23
20-3
vs San Francisco 49ers
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +12 · Total: 46
29-17
@ Houston Texans
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -8 · Total: 32
12-20
vs New York Jets
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 58
32-26
@ Green Bay Packers
Nov 28, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs New England Patriots
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: +19 · Total: 49
34-15
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: +15 · Total: 53
34-19
@ Los Angeles Rams
Nov 11, 2024 · Margin: +8 · Total: 38
23-15