Final Score: Patriots 42 - Jets 10
Sunday, December 28, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Jets
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 69 | 44 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 22.8 | 18.7 |
| Last meeting | 27 | 14 |
| Stat | Patriots | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 15 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 27.3 | 18.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.0 | 28.4 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 20% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 25% |
Recent Results
Patriots
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 52
28-24
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 66
31-35
vs New York Giants
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 48
33-15
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 46
26-20
vs New York Jets
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 51
28-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 47
24-23
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 45
32-13
@ Tennessee Titans
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 44
31-13
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 44
25-19
Jets
@ New Orleans Saints
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -23 · Total: 35
6-29
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 68
20-48
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
@ Baltimore Ravens
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 33
10-23
@ New England Patriots
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 41
14-27
vs Cleveland Browns
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 77
39-38
vs Carolina Panthers
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 19
6-13
vs Denver Broncos
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 24
11-13