Final Score: Bills 35 - Patriots 31
Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Bills @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 43 | 68 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 19.0 | 22.3 |
| Last meeting | 20 | 23 |
| Stat | Bills | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 13 | 13 |
| Avg points scored | 28.9 | 27.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.5 | 18.5 |
| Win percentage | 69% | 85% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 71% |
Recent Results
Bills
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 73
39-34
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 33
26-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 42
19-23
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 76
44-32
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 43
13-30
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 49
28-21
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 49
40-9
@ Atlanta Falcons
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 38
14-24
vs New England Patriots
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs New Orleans Saints
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 50
31-19
Patriots
vs New York Giants
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 48
33-15
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 46
26-20
vs New York Jets
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 51
28-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 47
24-23
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 45
32-13
@ Tennessee Titans
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 44
31-13
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 44
25-19
@ Buffalo Bills
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 55
42-13