Final Score: Patriots 25 - Saints 19
Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Saints
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 10 | 6 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 21.8 | 22.6 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 34 |
| Stat | Patriots | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 5 | 5 |
| Avg points scored | 25.0 | 18.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.2 | 27.0 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 20% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 33% |
Recent Results
Patriots
@ Buffalo Bills
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 55
42-13
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 35
14-21
@ Miami Dolphins
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 60
33-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 39
23-16
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: -33 · Total: 47
7-40
@ Buffalo Bills
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 45
21-24
@ Arizona Cardinals
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
Saints
vs New York Giants
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 40
26-14
@ Buffalo Bills
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -12 · Total: 50
19-31
@ Seattle Seahawks
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -31 · Total: 57
13-44
vs San Francisco 49ers
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 47
21-26
vs Arizona Cardinals
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: -15 · Total: 35
10-25
@ Green Bay Packers
Dec 23, 2024 · Margin: -34 · Total: 34
0-34
vs Washington Commanders
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -1 · Total: 39
19-20
@ New York Giants
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 25
14-11