Final Score: Patriots 28 - Ravens 24
Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 8:20 PM ET
Patriots @ Ravens
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 11 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 26.4 | 23.3 |
| Last meeting | 26 | 37 |
| Stat | Patriots | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 14 | 14 |
| Avg points scored | 27.3 | 23.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 19.7 | 22.9 |
| Win percentage | 79% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 38% |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 66
31-35
vs New York Giants
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 48
33-15
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 46
26-20
vs New York Jets
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 51
28-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 47
24-23
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 45
32-13
@ Tennessee Titans
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 44
31-13
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 44
25-19
@ Buffalo Bills
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
Ravens
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 24
24-0
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 49
22-27
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -18 · Total: 46
14-32
vs New York Jets
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 33
23-10
@ Cleveland Browns
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 39
23-16
@ Minnesota Vikings
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 46
27-19
@ Miami Dolphins
Oct 30, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 34
28-6
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 46
30-16
vs Los Angeles Rams
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 20
3-17
vs Houston Texans
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -34 · Total: 54
10-44