Final Score: Falcons 23 - Patriots 24
Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Falcons @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Falcons | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average points | 20.9 | 20.7 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 25 |
| Stat | Falcons | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 7 | 8 |
| Avg points scored | 17.1 | 26.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.0 | 18.2 |
| Win percentage | 43% | 75% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 50% |
Recent Results
Falcons
vs Miami Dolphins
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
@ San Francisco 49ers
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 30
10-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 38
24-14
vs Washington Commanders
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
@ Carolina Panthers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -30 · Total: 30
0-30
@ Minnesota Vikings
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 28
22-6
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs Carolina Panthers
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 82
38-44
@ Washington Commanders
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30
vs New York Giants
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +27 · Total: 41
34-7
Patriots
vs Cleveland Browns
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 45
32-13
@ Tennessee Titans
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 44
31-13
@ New Orleans Saints
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 44
25-19
@ Buffalo Bills
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 55
42-13
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 35
14-21
@ Miami Dolphins
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 60
33-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 39
23-16
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: -33 · Total: 47
7-40