Final Score: Jets 8 - Bills 35
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Jets @ Bills
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Jets | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 49 | 61 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 20.1 | 21.5 |
| Last meeting | 10 | 30 |
| Stat | Jets | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 18.2 | 27.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 29.2 | 22.3 |
| Win percentage | 19% | 69% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 14% | 75% |
Recent Results
Jets
vs New England Patriots
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -32 · Total: 52
10-42
@ New Orleans Saints
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -23 · Total: 35
6-29
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 68
20-48
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
@ Baltimore Ravens
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 33
10-23
@ New England Patriots
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 41
14-27
vs Cleveland Browns
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 77
39-38
vs Carolina Panthers
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 19
6-13
Bills
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 25
12-13
@ Cleveland Browns
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 66
35-31
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 73
39-34
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 33
26-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 42
19-23
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 76
44-32
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 43
13-30
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 49
28-21
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 49
40-9