Final Score: Bills 27 - Jaguars 24
Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Bills @ Jaguars
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bills | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 22.1 | 20.2 |
| Last meeting | 47 | 10 |
| Stat | Bills | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 17 | 17 |
| Avg points scored | 28.3 | 27.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 21.5 | 19.8 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 76% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 78% |
Recent Results
Bills
vs New York Jets
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +27 · Total: 43
35-8
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 25
12-13
@ Cleveland Browns
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 66
35-31
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 73
39-34
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +19 · Total: 33
26-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 42
19-23
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +12 · Total: 76
44-32
@ Miami Dolphins
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 43
13-30
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 49
28-21
Jaguars
vs Tennessee Titans
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +34 · Total: 48
41-7
@ Indianapolis Colts
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 40
23-17
@ Denver Broncos
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 54
34-20
vs New York Jets
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +28 · Total: 68
48-20
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 55
36-19
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 28
25-3
@ Arizona Cardinals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 41
35-6
@ Houston Texans
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 65
29-36
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 59
30-29