Final Score: Chargers 6 - Jaguars 35
Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Chargers @ Jaguars
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chargers | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 9 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 29.6 | 20.4 |
| Last meeting | 30 | 31 |
| Stat | Chargers | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 10 | 9 |
| Avg points scored | 24.0 | 22.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.3 | 24.4 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 75% | 60% |
Recent Results
Chargers
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 35
25-10
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
vs Minnesota Vikings
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: +27 · Total: 47
37-10
vs Indianapolis Colts
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 62
24-38
@ Miami Dolphins
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 56
29-27
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 37
10-27
@ New York Giants
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 39
18-21
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 29
20-9
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
Jaguars
@ Houston Texans
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 65
29-36
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 59
30-29
vs Los Angeles Rams
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 42
7-35
vs Seattle Seahawks
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 32
12-20
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 59
31-28
@ San Francisco 49ers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 47
26-21
vs Houston Texans
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 27
17-10
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 58
27-31
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 36
26-10
@ Indianapolis Colts
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 49
23-26