Final Score: Commanders 27 - Chargers 10
Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 4:25 PM ET
Commanders @ Chargers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Commanders | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 23.7 | 21.6 |
| Last meeting | 16 | 20 |
| Stat | Commanders | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 4 | 4 |
| Avg points scored | 26.8 | 22.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.8 | 17.8 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 75% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Commanders
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 65
41-24
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27
vs New York Giants
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 27
21-6
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -32 · Total: 78
23-55
@ Detroit Lions
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 76
45-31
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
vs Atlanta Falcons
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 54
30-24
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 69
36-33
Chargers
@ New York Giants
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 39
18-21
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 29
20-9
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Houston Texans
Jan 11, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 44
12-32
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 54
34-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: +33 · Total: 47
40-7
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 19, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -23 · Total: 57
17-40
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 36
17-19