Final Score: Commanders 23 - Cowboys 19
Sunday, January 5, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET

Commanders @ Cowboys

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Commanders
11-5 Rating 1506
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Dallas Cowboys +2.7
Cowboys
7-9 Rating 1483
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Commanders Cowboys
All-time wins 41 69
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 18.8 23.0
Last meeting 26 34

Key Season Stats

Stat Commanders Cowboys
Games played 16 16
Avg points scored 28.9 20.7
Avg points conceded 23.2 27.8
Win percentage 69% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 57% 25%