Final Score: Broncos 20 - Chargers 23
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Broncos @ Chargers
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Broncos | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 68 | 42 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 21.2 | 19.5 |
| Last meeting | 27 | 34 |
| Stat | Broncos | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 2 | 2 |
| Avg points scored | 24.0 | 23.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.5 | 15.0 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 100% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Broncos
@ Indianapolis Colts
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 57
28-29
vs Tennessee Titans
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 32
20-12
@ Buffalo Bills
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 38
7-31
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +38 · Total: 38
38-0
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 54
24-30
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 19, 2024 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +18 · Total: 44
31-13
vs Cleveland Browns
Dec 2, 2024 · Margin: +9 · Total: 73
41-32
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: +10 · Total: 48
29-19
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: +32 · Total: 44
38-6
Chargers
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 29
20-9
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 48
27-21
@ Houston Texans
Jan 11, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 44
12-32
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 54
34-20
@ New England Patriots
Dec 28, 2024 · Margin: +33 · Total: 47
40-7
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 19, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 61
34-27
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -23 · Total: 57
17-40
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -2 · Total: 36
17-19
@ Atlanta Falcons
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: +4 · Total: 30
17-13
vs Baltimore Ravens
Nov 25, 2024 · Margin: -7 · Total: 53
23-30