Final Score: Bears 25 - Commanders 24
Monday, October 13, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Bears @ Commanders
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bears | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 11 | 19 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 19.0 | 21.5 |
| Last meeting | 15 | 18 |
| Stat | Bears | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 4 | 5 |
| Avg points scored | 25.2 | 26.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 29.2 | 20.2 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 100% |
Recent Results
Bears
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 49
25-24
vs Dallas Cowboys
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 45
31-14
@ Detroit Lions
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -31 · Total: 73
21-52
vs Minnesota Vikings
Sep 8, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
@ Green Bay Packers
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 46
24-22
vs Seattle Seahawks
Dec 26, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Lions
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -17 · Total: 51
17-34
@ Minnesota Vikings
Dec 16, 2024 · Margin: -18 · Total: 42
12-30
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: -25 · Total: 51
13-38
@ Detroit Lions
Nov 28, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
Commanders
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 37
27-10
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 65
41-24
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27
vs New York Giants
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 27
21-6
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -32 · Total: 78
23-55
@ Detroit Lions
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 76
45-31
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
vs Atlanta Falcons
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 54
30-24