Final Score: Commanders 22 - Cowboys 44
Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 4:25 PM ET
Commanders @ Cowboys
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Commanders | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 42 | 69 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 18.8 | 23.0 |
| Last meeting | 23 | 19 |
| Stat | Commanders | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 6 | 6 |
| Avg points scored | 26.3 | 29.7 |
| Avg points conceded | 21.0 | 30.7 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 33% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 33% | 50% |
Recent Results
Commanders
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 37
27-10
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 65
41-24
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27
vs New York Giants
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 27
21-6
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -32 · Total: 78
23-55
@ Detroit Lions
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 76
45-31
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jan 12, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
Cowboys
@ Carolina Panthers
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 57
27-30
@ New York Jets
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 59
37-22
vs Green Bay Packers
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 80
40-40
@ Chicago Bears
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 45
14-31
vs New York Giants
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 77
40-37
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 4, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 44
20-24
vs Washington Commanders
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 42
19-23
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: -34 · Total: 48
7-41
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +2 · Total: 50
26-24
@ Carolina Panthers
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +16 · Total: 44
30-14