Final Score: Texans 10 - Jaguars 17
Sunday, September 21, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Texans @ Jaguars
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Texans | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 31 | 15 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 22.4 | 19.3 |
| Last meeting | 23 | 20 |
| Stat | Texans | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 2 | 2 |
| Avg points scored | 14.0 | 26.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 17.0 | 20.5 |
| Win percentage | 0% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 0% | 100% |
Recent Results
Texans
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sep 15, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 39
19-20
@ Los Angeles Rams
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 23
9-14
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 37
14-23
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 11, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 44
32-12
@ Tennessee Titans
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 37
23-14
vs Baltimore Ravens
Dec 25, 2024 · Margin: -29 · Total: 33
2-31
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 21, 2024 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
vs Miami Dolphins
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: +8 · Total: 32
20-12
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
vs Tennessee Titans
Nov 24, 2024 · Margin: -5 · Total: 59
27-32
Jaguars
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 58
27-31
vs Carolina Panthers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 36
26-10
@ Indianapolis Colts
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 49
23-26
vs Tennessee Titans
Dec 29, 2024 · Margin: +7 · Total: 33
20-13
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: -5 · Total: 33
14-19
vs New York Jets
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -7 · Total: 57
25-32
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 8, 2024 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Houston Texans
Dec 1, 2024 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
@ Detroit Lions
Nov 17, 2024 · Margin: -46 · Total: 58
6-52
vs Minnesota Vikings
Nov 10, 2024 · Margin: -5 · Total: 19
7-12