Final Score: Jaguars 34 - Broncos 20
Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 4:05 PM ET
Jaguars @ Broncos
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Jaguars | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 7 | 8 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 19.4 | 23.9 |
| Last meeting | 17 | 21 |
| Stat | Jaguars | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 14 | 14 |
| Avg points scored | 26.9 | 24.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.9 | 18.6 |
| Win percentage | 71% | 86% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 100% |
Recent Results
Jaguars
vs New York Jets
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +28 · Total: 68
48-20
vs Indianapolis Colts
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 55
36-19
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 28
25-3
@ Arizona Cardinals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 51
27-24
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 41
35-6
@ Houston Texans
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 65
29-36
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 59
30-29
vs Los Angeles Rams
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -28 · Total: 42
7-35
vs Seattle Seahawks
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 32
12-20
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 59
31-28
Broncos
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 41
24-17
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 53
27-26
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 68
44-24
vs New York Giants
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 65
33-32
vs New York Jets
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 24
13-11
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 38
21-17