Final Score: Broncos 27 - Commanders 26
Sunday, November 30, 2025 at 8:20 PM ET
Broncos @ Commanders
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Broncos | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average points | 19.6 | 24.1 |
| Last meeting | 33 | 35 |
| Stat | Broncos | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 11 | 11 |
| Avg points scored | 23.4 | 21.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 17.5 | 26.9 |
| Win percentage | 82% | 27% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 40% |
Recent Results
Broncos
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 68
44-24
vs New York Giants
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 65
33-32
vs New York Jets
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 24
13-11
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 38
21-17
vs Cincinnati Bengals
Sep 29, 2025 · Margin: +25 · Total: 31
28-3
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
@ Indianapolis Colts
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 57
28-29
Commanders
vs Miami Dolphins
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 29
13-16
vs Detroit Lions
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 66
22-44
vs Seattle Seahawks
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 52
14-38
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 35
7-28
@ Dallas Cowboys
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 66
22-44
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 37
27-10
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 65
41-24
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27