Final Score: Lions 44 - Commanders 22
Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 4:25 PM ET
Lions @ Commanders
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lions | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 8 | 23 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 17.6 | 26.5 |
| Last meeting | 31 | 45 |
| Stat | Lions | Commanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 8 | 9 |
| Avg points scored | 29.9 | 22.3 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.2 | 26.2 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 33% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 50% |
Recent Results
Lions
vs Minnesota Vikings
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 51
24-27
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 33
24-9
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: -13 · Total: 47
17-30
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 61
37-24
vs Cleveland Browns
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
@ Baltimore Ravens
Sep 22, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 68
38-30
vs Chicago Bears
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 73
52-21
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 40
13-27
vs Washington Commanders
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 76
31-45
vs Minnesota Vikings
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 40
31-9
Commanders
vs Seattle Seahawks
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 52
14-38
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 35
7-28
@ Dallas Cowboys
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -22 · Total: 66
22-44
vs Chicago Bears
Oct 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 49
24-25
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 37
27-10
@ Atlanta Falcons
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 61
27-34
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 65
41-24
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 11, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 45
18-27
vs New York Giants
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 27
21-6
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: -32 · Total: 78
23-55