Final Score: Lions 17 - Chiefs 30
Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 8:20 PM ET
Lions @ Chiefs
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lions | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 22.9 | 25.1 |
| Last meeting | 21 | 20 |
| Stat | Lions | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 5 | 5 |
| Avg points scored | 34.8 | 25.0 |
| Avg points conceded | 22.4 | 21.4 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 50% |
Recent Results
Lions
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 61
37-24
vs Cleveland Browns
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 44
34-10
@ Baltimore Ravens
Sep 22, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 68
38-30
vs Chicago Bears
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 73
52-21
@ Green Bay Packers
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 40
13-27
vs Washington Commanders
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 76
31-45
vs Minnesota Vikings
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: +22 · Total: 40
31-9
@ San Francisco 49ers
Dec 30, 2024 · Margin: +6 · Total: 74
40-34
@ Chicago Bears
Dec 22, 2024 · Margin: +17 · Total: 51
34-17
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 15, 2024 · Margin: -6 · Total: 90
42-48
Chiefs
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 57
37-20
@ New York Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 31
22-9
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 48
21-27
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Feb 9, 2025 · Margin: -18 · Total: 62
22-40
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 26, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 61
32-29
vs Houston Texans
Jan 18, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 37
23-14
@ Denver Broncos
Jan 5, 2025 · Margin: -38 · Total: 38
0-38
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Dec 25, 2024 · Margin: +19 · Total: 39
29-10