Final Score: Broncos 20 - Chiefs 13
Thursday, December 25, 2025 at 8:15 PM ET
Broncos @ Chiefs
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Broncos | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 57 | 54 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 21.2 | 20.7 |
| Last meeting | 22 | 19 |
| Stat | Broncos | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 15 | 15 |
| Avg points scored | 24.1 | 22.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 19.7 | 19.6 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 71% | 62% |
Recent Results
Broncos
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 54
20-34
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 41
24-17
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 53
27-26
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 68
44-24
vs New York Giants
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 65
33-32
vs New York Jets
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 24
13-11
Chiefs
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 35
9-26
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 29
13-16
vs Houston Texans
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 30
10-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Denver Broncos
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 41
19-22
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 49
21-28
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 35
28-7
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17