Final Score: Texans 20 - Chiefs 10
Sunday, December 7, 2025 at 8:20 PM ET
Texans @ Chiefs
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Texans | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 5 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 0 | 5 |
| Average points | 21.1 | 28.7 |
| Last meeting | 14 | 23 |
| Stat | Texans | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 12 | 12 |
| Avg points scored | 21.9 | 25.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 16.5 | 19.3 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 83% |
Recent Results
Texans
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 65
36-29
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 33
15-18
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 41
26-15
@ Seattle Seahawks
Oct 20, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 46
19-27
@ Baltimore Ravens
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +34 · Total: 54
44-10
vs Tennessee Titans
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +26 · Total: 26
26-0
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 27
10-17
Chiefs
@ Dallas Cowboys
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Denver Broncos
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 41
19-22
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 49
21-28
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 35
28-7
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 57
37-20
@ New York Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 31
22-9