Final Score: Colts 20 - Chiefs 23
Sunday, November 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET
Colts @ Chiefs
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Colts | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 18 | 10 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 21.5 | 20.9 |
| Last meeting | 20 | 17 |
| Stat | Colts | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 10 | 10 |
| Avg points scored | 32.1 | 25.4 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.6 | 18.1 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 50% | 80% |
Recent Results
Colts
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 56
31-25
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 47
20-27
vs Tennessee Titans
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 52
38-14
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 62
38-24
vs Arizona Cardinals
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 58
31-27
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 5, 2025 · Margin: +34 · Total: 46
40-6
@ Los Angeles Rams
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 47
20-27
@ Tennessee Titans
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 61
41-20
vs Denver Broncos
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 57
29-28
vs Miami Dolphins
Sep 7, 2025 · Margin: +25 · Total: 41
33-8
Chiefs
@ Denver Broncos
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 41
19-22
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 49
21-28
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 35
28-7
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
vs Detroit Lions
Oct 12, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 47
30-17
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Oct 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Baltimore Ravens
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 57
37-20
@ New York Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 31
22-9
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Sep 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 37
17-20
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Sep 5, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 48
21-27