Final Score: Chargers 16 - Chiefs 13
Sunday, December 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM ET

Chargers @ Chiefs

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Chargers
9-4 Rating 1557
Form: WWLWW
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Kansas City Chiefs +5.1
Chiefs
6-7 Rating 1638
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Chargers Chiefs
All-time wins 50 61
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 20.8 21.9
Last meeting 27 21

Key Season Stats

Stat Chargers Chiefs
Games played 13 13
Avg points scored 23.0 24.2
Avg points conceded 20.8 19.4
Win percentage 69% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 71%