Final Score: Chiefs 12 - Raiders 14
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Chiefs @ Raiders
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chiefs | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 65 | 44 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average points | 22.1 | 18.9 |
| Last meeting | 31 | 0 |
| Stat | Chiefs | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 21.9 | 14.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 19.6 | 26.2 |
| Win percentage | 38% | 12% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 14% | 12% |
Recent Results
Chiefs
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 33
13-20
@ Tennessee Titans
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 35
9-26
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 29
13-16
vs Houston Texans
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -10 · Total: 30
10-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Nov 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 59
28-31
vs Indianapolis Colts
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 43
23-20
@ Denver Broncos
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 41
19-22
@ Buffalo Bills
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 49
21-28
vs Washington Commanders
Oct 27, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 35
28-7
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +31 · Total: 31
31-0
Raiders
vs New York Giants
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -24 · Total: 44
10-34
@ Houston Texans
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 44
21-23
@ Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -31 · Total: 31
0-31
vs Denver Broncos
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 41
17-24
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 45
14-31
vs Cleveland Browns
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 34
10-24
vs Dallas Cowboys
Nov 17, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 49
16-33
@ Denver Broncos
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 17
7-10
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 59
29-30
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -31 · Total: 31
0-31