Final Score: Chargers 3 - Broncos 19
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Chargers @ Broncos
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Chargers | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 43 | 68 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 19.5 | 21.2 |
| Last meeting | 23 | 20 |
| Stat | Chargers | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 22.8 | 23.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 20.1 | 19.2 |
| Win percentage | 69% | 81% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 71% | 88% |
Recent Results
Chargers
vs Houston Texans
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 36
16-20
@ Dallas Cowboys
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 51
34-17
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Philadelphia Eagles
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +17 · Total: 45
31-14
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: -29 · Total: 41
6-35
vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +15 · Total: 35
25-10
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 47
27-20
vs Minnesota Vikings
Oct 23, 2025 · Margin: +27 · Total: 47
37-10
vs Indianapolis Colts
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 62
24-38
Broncos
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 33
20-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 54
20-34
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 41
24-17
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 53
27-26
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15
vs Dallas Cowboys
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 68
44-24
vs New York Giants
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 65
33-32