Final Score: Texans 16 - Patriots 28
Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
Texans @ Patriots
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Texans | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 4 | 11 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 21.8 | 29.7 |
| Last meeting | 41 | 21 |
| Stat | Texans | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 18 | 18 |
| Avg points scored | 24.1 | 28.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 16.7 | 17.9 |
| Win percentage | 72% | 83% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 67% | 70% |
Recent Results
Texans
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +24 · Total: 36
30-6
vs Indianapolis Colts
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 68
38-30
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 44
23-21
vs Arizona Cardinals
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 60
40-20
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 30
20-10
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 65
36-29
Patriots
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 19
16-3
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +28 · Total: 48
38-10
@ New York Jets
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +32 · Total: 52
42-10
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 52
28-24
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 66
31-35
vs New York Giants
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 48
33-15
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 46
26-20
vs New York Jets
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 51
28-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 47
24-23