Final Score: Texans 30 - Steelers 6
Monday, January 12, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET

Texans @ Steelers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Texans
12-5 Rating 1665
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Houston Texans +0.9
Steelers
10-7 Rating 1551
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Texans Steelers
All-time wins 3 5
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 18.1 22.4
Last meeting 30 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Texans Steelers
Games played 17 17
Avg points scored 23.8 23.4
Avg points conceded 17.4 22.8
Win percentage 71% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 67%