Final Score: Colts 30 - Texans 38
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Colts @ Texans
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Colts | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 33 | 14 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average points | 25.8 | 19.5 |
| Last meeting | 16 | 20 |
| Stat | Colts | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 16 | 16 |
| Avg points scored | 27.2 | 22.9 |
| Avg points conceded | 23.4 | 16.6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 69% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 29% | 75% |
Recent Results
Colts
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 40
17-23
vs San Francisco 49ers
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: -21 · Total: 75
27-48
@ Seattle Seahawks
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 34
16-18
@ Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -17 · Total: 55
19-36
vs Houston Texans
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 36
16-20
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 43
20-23
vs Atlanta Falcons
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 56
31-25
@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 47
20-27
vs Tennessee Titans
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 52
38-14
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Oct 19, 2025 · Margin: +14 · Total: 62
38-24
Texans
@ Los Angeles Chargers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 44
23-21
vs Arizona Cardinals
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +20 · Total: 60
40-20
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 30
20-10
@ Indianapolis Colts
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 36
20-16
vs Buffalo Bills
Nov 20, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 42
23-19
@ Tennessee Titans
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 29
16-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 65
36-29
vs Denver Broncos
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 33
15-18
vs San Francisco 49ers
Oct 26, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 41
26-15