Final Score: Ravens 24 - Steelers 26
Sunday, January 4, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET

Ravens @ Steelers

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Ravens
8-8 Rating 1611
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Steelers +1.1
Steelers
9-7 Rating 1540
Form: LWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Ravens Steelers
All-time wins 27 37
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 19.6 20.1
Last meeting 22 27

Key Season Stats

Stat Ravens Steelers
Games played 16 16
Avg points scored 25.0 23.2
Avg points conceded 23.2 22.7
Win percentage 50% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 62%