Final Score: Patriots 10 - Broncos 7
Sunday, January 25, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET
Patriots @ Broncos
NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Patriots | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 14 | 23 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 21.5 | 23.5 |
| Last meeting | 26 | 23 |
| Stat | Patriots | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 19 | 18 |
| Avg points scored | 28.1 | 24.1 |
| Avg points conceded | 17.8 | 18.9 |
| Win percentage | 84% | 83% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 100% | 90% |
Recent Results
Patriots
vs Houston Texans
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 44
28-16
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 19
16-3
vs Miami Dolphins
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +28 · Total: 48
38-10
@ New York Jets
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +32 · Total: 52
42-10
@ Baltimore Ravens
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 52
28-24
vs Buffalo Bills
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 66
31-35
vs New York Giants
Dec 1, 2025 · Margin: +18 · Total: 48
33-15
@ Cincinnati Bengals
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 46
26-20
vs New York Jets
Nov 13, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 41
27-14
@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Nov 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 51
28-23
Broncos
vs Buffalo Bills
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 63
33-30
vs Los Angeles Chargers
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 22
19-3
@ Kansas City Chiefs
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 33
20-13
vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 54
20-34
vs Green Bay Packers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 60
34-26
@ Las Vegas Raiders
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 41
24-17
@ Washington Commanders
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 53
27-26
vs Kansas City Chiefs
Nov 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 41
22-19
vs Las Vegas Raiders
Nov 6, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 17
10-7
@ Houston Texans
Nov 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 33
18-15