Patriots @ Jaguars

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Patriots 6 - Jaguars 35
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
New England
Patriots
1-1 Rating 1610
Form: WWLLW
6 – 35
Model Probability
48%
52%
Projected margin: Jacksonville Jaguars +2.0
Jacksonville
Jaguars
1-1 Rating 1563
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Patriots Jaguars
All-time wins 12 3
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 27.5 17.7
Last meeting 16 32

Key Season Stats

Stat Patriots Jaguars
Games played 2 2
Avg points scored 15.0 23.5
Avg points conceded 8.0 15.0
Win percentage 50% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%