Jaguars @ Bengals

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Jaguars 22 - Bengals 17
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville
Jaguars
2-1 Rating 1596
Form: WLWLW
22 – 17
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Bengals +0.4
Cincinnati
Bengals
2-1 Rating 1520
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Jaguars Bengals
All-time wins 13 13
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 23.1 19.9
Last meeting 27 31

Key Season Stats

Stat Jaguars Bengals
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 27.3 26.7
Avg points conceded 12.0 21.0
Win percentage 67% 67%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%