Bengals @ Dolphins

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Bengals 31 - Dolphins 24
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
Cincinnati
Bengals
2-2 Rating 1503
Form: LWWLL
31 – 24
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Cincinnati Bengals +2.1
Miami
Dolphins
0-4 Rating 1373
Form: LLLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Bengals Dolphins
All-time wins 7 17
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 18.1 22.8
Last meeting 45 21

Key Season Stats

Stat Bengals Dolphins
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 24.2 11.5
Avg points conceded 21.2 25.2
Win percentage 50% 0%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 0%