Updated November 5, 2026 · refreshes daily around 8:30am ET

NFL Playoff Chances

Modelled playoff, division, conference and title odds for every team.

Best AFC

Buffalo Bills 98%

Best NFC

San Francisco 49ers 94%

Team	Division	Playoffs	Division	Conference	Super Bowl
Buffalo Bills	AFC East	98%	80%	31%	18%
Denver Broncos	AFC West	96%	73%	21%	11%
San Francisco 49ers	NFC West	94%	78%	23%	11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC South	93%	89%	13%	7%
Minnesota Vikings	NFC North	93%	51%	21%	10%
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC North	82%	45%	8%	4%
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC West	81%	26%	7%	4%
Chicago Bears	NFC North	80%	20%	12%	6%
Detroit Lions	NFC North	79%	25%	13%	6%
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC North	79%	40%	8%	4%
New England Patriots	AFC East	77%	20%	8%	4%
Seattle Seahawks	NFC West	61%	15%	12%	6%
New York Giants	NFC East	53%	52%	2%	1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC South	45%	44%	3%	1%
Green Bay Packers	NFC North	44%	5%	4%	2%
Los Angeles Rams	NFC West	40%	6%	6%	3%
Cleveland Browns	AFC North	35%	8%	1%	<1%
Baltimore Ravens	AFC North	28%	6%	2%	1%
Atlanta Falcons	NFC South	23%	22%	1%	<1%
Carolina Panthers	NFC South	22%	21%	1%	<1%
Dallas Cowboys	NFC East	20%	19%	1%	<1%
Houston Texans	AFC South	20%	10%	1%	1%
Washington Commanders	NFC East	20%	19%	1%	<1%
New Orleans Saints	NFC South	13%	13%	<1%	<1%
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC East	11%	10%	1%	<1%
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC West	7%	1%	<1%	<1%
Indianapolis Colts	AFC South	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
Arizona Cardinals	NFC West	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC West	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Miami Dolphins	AFC East	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
New York Jets	AFC East	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Tennessee Titans	AFC South	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

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Team	Division	Playoffs	Division	Conference	Super Bowl
Buffalo Bills	AFC East	98%	80%	31%	18%
Denver Broncos	AFC West	96%	73%	21%	11%
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC South	93%	89%	13%	7%
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC North	82%	45%	8%	4%
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC West	81%	26%	7%	4%
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC North	79%	40%	8%	4%
New England Patriots	AFC East	77%	20%	8%	4%
Cleveland Browns	AFC North	35%	8%	1%	<1%
Baltimore Ravens	AFC North	28%	6%	2%	1%
Houston Texans	AFC South	20%	10%	1%	1%
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC West	7%	1%	<1%	<1%
Indianapolis Colts	AFC South	3%	1%	<1%	<1%
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC West	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Miami Dolphins	AFC East	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
New York Jets	AFC East	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Tennessee Titans	AFC South	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

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Team	Division	Playoffs	Division	Conference	Super Bowl
San Francisco 49ers	NFC West	94%	78%	23%	11%
Minnesota Vikings	NFC North	93%	51%	21%	10%
Chicago Bears	NFC North	80%	20%	12%	6%
Detroit Lions	NFC North	79%	25%	13%	6%
Seattle Seahawks	NFC West	61%	15%	12%	6%
New York Giants	NFC East	53%	52%	2%	1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC South	45%	44%	3%	1%
Green Bay Packers	NFC North	44%	5%	4%	2%
Los Angeles Rams	NFC West	40%	6%	6%	3%
Atlanta Falcons	NFC South	23%	22%	1%	<1%
Carolina Panthers	NFC South	22%	21%	1%	<1%
Dallas Cowboys	NFC East	20%	19%	1%	<1%
Washington Commanders	NFC East	20%	19%	1%	<1%
New Orleans Saints	NFC South	13%	13%	<1%	<1%
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC East	11%	10%	1%	<1%
Arizona Cardinals	NFC West	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%

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Team	Division	Seed 1	Seed 2	Seed 3	Seed 4	Seed 5	Seed 6	Seed 7
Buffalo Bills	AFC East	40%	21%	13%	6%	10%	5%	3%
Denver Broncos	AFC West	25%	20%	18%	9%	12%	6%	4%
Jacksonville Jaguars	AFC South	9%	19%	23%	38%	1%	2%	2%
Cincinnati Bengals	AFC North	7%	13%	14%	11%	12%	13%	11%
Kansas City Chiefs	AFC West	6%	7%	7%	5%	24%	17%	14%
Pittsburgh Steelers	AFC North	6%	12%	12%	10%	11%	15%	13%
New England Patriots	AFC East	5%	5%	5%	5%	22%	19%	16%
Cleveland Browns	AFC North	<1%	1%	3%	4%	4%	9%	14%
Baltimore Ravens	AFC North	<1%	1%	3%	2%	3%	8%	12%
Houston Texans	AFC South	<1%	<1%	1%	8%	1%	3%	7%
Las Vegas Raiders	AFC West	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	2%	4%
Indianapolis Colts	AFC South	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	1%
Los Angeles Chargers	AFC West	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Miami Dolphins	AFC East	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
New York Jets	AFC East	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Tennessee Titans	AFC South	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%

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Team	Division	Seed 1	Seed 2	Seed 3	Seed 4	Seed 5	Seed 6	Seed 7
San Francisco 49ers	NFC West	35%	39%	3%	<1%	4%	6%	6%
Minnesota Vikings	NFC North	34%	16%	1%	<1%	23%	12%	7%
Chicago Bears	NFC North	12%	8%	<1%	<1%	25%	20%	16%
Detroit Lions	NFC North	14%	10%	1%	<1%	23%	17%	14%
Seattle Seahawks	NFC West	2%	12%	1%	<1%	9%	17%	19%
New York Giants	NFC East	1%	4%	32%	16%	<1%	<1%	1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	NFC South	<1%	1%	18%	26%	<1%	<1%	1%
Green Bay Packers	NFC North	2%	3%	<1%	<1%	9%	14%	16%
Los Angeles Rams	NFC West	1%	5%	1%	<1%	7%	12%	15%
Atlanta Falcons	NFC South	<1%	<1%	9%	12%	<1%	<1%	1%
Carolina Panthers	NFC South	<1%	<1%	8%	12%	<1%	<1%	1%
Dallas Cowboys	NFC East	<1%	1%	7%	11%	<1%	<1%	1%
Washington Commanders	NFC East	<1%	<1%	11%	8%	<1%	<1%	1%
New Orleans Saints	NFC South	<1%	<1%	5%	8%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Philadelphia Eagles	NFC East	<1%	<1%	4%	6%	<1%	<1%	<1%
Arizona Cardinals	NFC West	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	1%

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All Teams Playoff Chances