Jets @ Patriots

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Jets 19 - Patriots 26
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
New York
Jets
2-3 Rating 1335
Form: WLLLW
19 – 26
Model Probability
16%
84%
Projected margin: New England Patriots +12.4
New England
Patriots
3-2 Rating 1612
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Jets Patriots
All-time wins 44 70
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 18.6 23.0
Last meeting 10 42

Key Season Stats

Stat Jets Patriots
Games played 5 5
Avg points scored 18.6 22.0
Avg points conceded 19.2 18.8
Win percentage 40% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 33% 100%