Chargers @ Chiefs

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Chargers 6 - Chiefs 22
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 4:25 PM ET
Los Angeles
Chargers
0-5 Rating 1425
Form: LLLLL
6 – 22
Model Probability
24%
76%
Projected margin: Kansas City Chiefs +8.7
Kansas City
Chiefs
4-0 Rating 1597
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Chargers Chiefs
All-time wins 51 61
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average points 20.7 21.9
Last meeting 16 13

Key Season Stats

Stat Chargers Chiefs
Games played 5 4
Avg points scored 16.8 29.5
Avg points conceded 25.8 19.2
Win percentage 0% 100%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%