Final Score: Lightning 1 - Maple Leafs 4
Tuesday, March 15, 2016 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
40-29 Rating 1551
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
68%
32%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Maple Leafs
23-45 Rating 1412
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
All-time wins 32 49
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 2.6 3.3
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Maple Leafs
Games played 69 68
Avg goals scored 2.8 2.4
Avg goals conceded 2.4 3.0
Win percentage 58% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 31%