Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 2
Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
28-17 Rating 1545
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.1
Lightning
36-11 Rating 1613
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
All-time wins 53 39
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.2 2.6
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Lightning
Games played 45 47
Avg goals scored 3.6 4.1
Avg goals conceded 2.8 2.8
Win percentage 62% 77%
Away win % / Home win % 71% 83%