Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Lightning 3
Wednesday, April 9, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 72 | 53 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 3 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 77 | 77 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 58% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 58% | 73% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 5, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Los Angeles Kings
Mar 29, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ San Jose Sharks
Mar 27, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
@ Nashville Predators
Mar 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Rangers
Mar 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Colorado Avalanche
Mar 19, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Lightning
@ New York Rangers
Apr 7, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Buffalo Sabres
Apr 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Islanders
Apr 1, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs New York Islanders
Mar 29, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Utah Mammoth
Mar 27, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 25, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 23, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Utah Mammoth
Mar 22, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6
@ Dallas Stars
Mar 20, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2