Final Score: Lightning 2 - Golden Knights 4
Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Golden Knights

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
40-29 Rating 1542
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
47%
53%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.5
Golden Knights
41-28 Rating 1540
Form: WLLWW
Golden Knights

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Golden Knights
All-time wins 6 7
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.3 3.5
Last meeting 4 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Golden Knights
Games played 69 69
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.4
Avg goals conceded 2.7 2.7
Win percentage 58% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 46% 72%