Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Golden Knights 5
Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Golden Knights
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Vegas Golden Knights +0.3
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 0 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Golden Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 61 | 60 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 71% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ New York Rangers
Feb 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Boston Bruins
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 23, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Vancouver Canucks
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Feb 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 1, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Golden Knights
vs New Jersey Devils
Mar 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Los Angeles Kings
Feb 24, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Vancouver Canucks
Feb 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Boston Bruins
Feb 8, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Feb 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ New York Islanders
Feb 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Rangers
Feb 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Dallas Stars
Jan 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4